Stella Gee

Intro CS Period 4

 

MIPS and Prediction

 

  1. Describe the curve of your graph.  How did it start and end?

The graph started off flat and made a sharp turn upwards at the end.

 

  1. Compare the two lines, How does Moore’s law compare to the real progress computers made?

Moore’s law is an over expectation but the actual graph does resemble the predictions given.

 

  1. How many times faster are today’s computers than the first Altair?

Today’s computers are 42427 times faster than the first Altair.

 

  1. Is Moore’s Law a good description of the increases seen in computers?

Moore’s Law is a good description of speed increase in computers because they match in an expodential graph.

 

  1. How many time faster are todays personal computers than the ENIAC, the first electronic computer (.000001 MIP)?

Today’s computers are 42,427,000,000 times faster than the ENIAC.

 

  1. Was this curve similar or different than your previous graph?

The curve in this new graph is similar to my The Past graph.  It starts off flat-ish and ends sharply upwards.

 

  1. What year did you predict computers will exceed human intelligence?

I predicted that in 2031, the computers would exceed human intelligence.

 

  1. How old will you be that year?

I will be 45 that year.

 

  1. If computers have the capacity to handle data as fast as humans, does that mean they will necessarily have our abilities?  What could be limitations?

Having the capacity to handle data as fast as humans does not mean computers can have our abilities.  Some factors may be virtue and vices that go with the goodness and badness of people.  Others may be the inclusion of human nature.

 

Overview

  1. When did computers have the data ability of Bacteria? Of Worms?

Already in 1971, the computer was above and around that of Bacteria.  In 1972, the computers had the 1mps of worms.

  1. What is the current intelligence of computers (in 2004) similar to?

It is similar to a lizard’s intelligence.

Stella Gee

Intro CS Period 4

 

  1. What year did you predict computers will surpass human capacity?

In 2031, computers will surpass human capacity.

 

  1. What do you predict about computers in the future beyond your graph?  Will the trends change?

I predict a continuous follow on Moore’s Law and an unchanging trend for a while.  However, there will be an eventual plateau for increase in computer ability where the Moore’s Law will be a too much of an overestimation.

 

  1. If computers become as smart as humans, will our relationship with them change?  How?

If computers become as smart as humans, there will probably be changes in our relationship to that of more dependent and then eventual computer domination.  Computers will become the answer to everything and humans will be just the producers.

 

  1. How do you feel about Artificial Intelligence?  Do the benefits outweigh the drawbacks?  Explain in a paragraph.

I feel that Artificial Intelligence is alright to a point in which it benefits us and we are still superior to our creation.  However, when we become too dependent on this invention of ours, any kind of disruption can bring the society down to ashes and the damage will be great.  An example is daily virus attacks that cause loss of data and inhibit many planned task.  This leads to a society hanging on Artificial Intelligences’ end. 

 

Super Computer Speed over Time

  • What was the power of computers in 1946 (the Mark I)?
    • The power of computers was 1E-03.
  • What is happening to computer power over time?
    • As time passes, computers are tripling in speed.
  • What happens to human brain power over time? Why?
    • Human brain power is constant because we as humans are at the level where we have capability for knowledge and humanlike responses to our surroundings.
  • According to the graph, in what year does computer power overtake human brainpower?
    • In 2007, the computer overtakes the human brainpower.
  • In what year will you be 40?  What will computer power probably be then?
    • I will be 40 in 2033.  Computers will be 1E 17 in power.
  • If a computer has 100 million MIPS power, Does that mean it’s as smart as humans? Explain.
    • This means it is as fast as humans and capable of the many processes occurring at the same time.

Stella Gee

Intro CS Period 4

  • What are two possibilities of how AI would NOT happen?
    • AI would not happen if we took drastic measures to stop AI in the next 7 years.   We could also have the world end by human hands at a sudden meteor crash leading to the wipe out of future AI along with humans.